The SPC has issued a Slight Risk for their Day 3 Severe Thunderstorm Outlook and another good chance for severe weather in the area on Day 4. This means that from Tuesday afternoon into Wednesday morning, severe weather is likely to occur within the yellow swath shown below.
The reasoning behind this prediction includes the existence of an upper level trough and strong cold front at the surface. A look at Surface Temperatures from the NAM 54 hours out reinforces the presence of the tight temperature gradient surrounding that cold front.
As details become clearer closer to Tuesday, an upgrade to Moderate Risk may be necessary. For now, though, we're paying special attention to the next few days and the severe weather they are sure to bring.
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